2. The schedule once Brees returns is not that bad and division heavy
We posted an article yesterday that predicted the Saints record with Drew Brees out. You can check it out if you want, but to make a long story short, we predicted that the Saints would go 23-3 in the six predicted games without Brees, giving the team a 4-4 record when he returned.
This, of course, was being optimistic that Brees would only miss five games as the sixth week of his injury leads into the Bye Week. It certainly could extend a week or two, but that appears to be the best-case scenario return-wise for Brees.
A 4-4 record definitely is not pretty and is not what the Saints want to have after seven games but it definitely is manageable the rest of the year. It does leave a small margin for error, but the remaining schedule for the Saints should not be all that challenging.
The Saints have five division games after the bye, two against the Panthers and Falcons and one against the Bucs, and should go 4-1 in those five with Brees (we will give one of the team’s a narrow home win). That is already eight wins right there.
The remaining three games are against the 49ers, Colts and Titans, all of which are teams that will be in the playoff mix for a wild card.
Those are all good teams but with two of those at home, the absolute bare minimum would be that the Saints win one of the three, giving them nine wins, which should be enough to win the division with 10 still being easily obtainable.