After the biggest win of the year, the LSU football team has another conference game, this time on the road, against the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
The nation is finally taking notice of the LSU football team. LSU had hovered around the fifth or sixth ranking all season heading into last Saturday, where they were determined to prove that they are one of the best teams in the country.
They did just that with a definitive home win over Florida, which included 21 unanswered points in the second half to put the Gators’ National Title hopes to bed. This was LSU’s second win of the young season over a top-10 ranked team and rightfully moved them to the second spot in the polls.
We could definitely make the case for LSU being number one, but we all know how much the voters love Alabama.
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LSU now hits the road and has another conference game against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. On paper, LSU is a much better team than the non-ranked Bulldogs. However, there is also the fear of a trap game, as LSU has two huge conference games against Auburn and Alabama after what should be a breeze.
LSU cannot underestimate the Bulldogs. They do not want to show their entire playbook heading into Auburn. but they cannot undersell this game. LSU won’t get the luxury that some other schools get of losing to a non-ranked team and still making the College Football Playoff.
The Tigers head into the contest as 18.5-point favorites over the Bulldogs with an over/under of 61.5 points. This might sound cheap, but the best bet to make in this game would be LSU -18.5 alongside the over.
This is an LSU team that averages 52.5 (57 against non-ranked teams) points per game and just scored 42 points against one of the best secondaries in the nation. Mississippi State has allowed 26 points per game this season, however, they allowed Auburn to score 56 points in that matchup.
Granted, that was in Auburn and LSU is going to have to fight through a tough crowd, but LSU has a better offense than Auburn. Not to mention that Missippi State is not a heavy scoring team.
They have had some good showings this year but they have not scored 30 or more points in the last four games. They’ve scored a combined 33 the last two games against Auburn and Tennessee.
They’ve done good in beating lesser teams but there really is no reason to expect them to do great against LSU. Nothing has stopped the LSU offense thus far and I don’t think Mississippi State is going to be the first to accomplish the feat.
As a courtesy, we’ll say that LSU won’t score 50 points in this game because they will pull their starters in the fourth quarter. However, they will have seven touchdowns on the day and score 49.
The Bulldogs will be able to get on the board. LSU’s defense is much better than the defenses Mississippi State was beating but it still has its holes. The Bulldogs will get two touchdowns and two field goals on the day to lead to a final 49-20 scoreline.
That gives us 10 points of wiggle room on the betting spread for the LSU Football Tigers with just under a touchdown over the point line.
Odds courtesy of the Action Network.