The LSU football team has one of the biggest games of the year on Saturday as they take on the ninth-ranked Auburn Tigers.
The LSU football team just came off of a huge win over the Florida Gators two weeks ago and now has the most important two-game stretch of the season. The next two games will determine whether or not the Tigers are going to get into the College Football Playoff.
The first challenge for the LSU football team is the Auburn Tigers. Auburn is the ninth-ranked team in the country and is heading to Baton Rouge looking to upset LSU and start their own underdog College Football case.
For LSU, this is the third team ranked in the top-10 that they have had to play this season. Thus far, the Tigers are 2-0 in such games and a win against yet another top-1o opponent should warrant the first ranking in the polls.
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It ultimately won’t matter much as after a bye week LSU takes on Alabama in what will definitively decide the number-one ranking.
LSU cannot look past Auburn, though, as they are still one of the best teams in the nation and can definitely beat the Tigers. However, the gambling community does not think this game will be as close, as Auburn is 11-point underdogs in this matchup, courtesy of the Action Network.
Eleven points is a lot to give in a college football game against two ranked teams and it may be tempting, even as an LSU fan, to bet Auburn +11. LSU can still win the game but all Auburn has to do is lose by 10 or fewer for the bet to hit.
While that seems like the safe bet, I actually think the -11 is a fair line and that the Tigers will end up going at least three points over it. With LSU being at home, I am surprised this line isn’t -12.5.
LSU completely outplayed the Florida Gators in the second half of their matchup and won that game by an easy 14 points. Florida is arguably a better team than Auburn with a better secondary and even handed Auburn its only loss.
If this was the LSU teams of old that were stout defensively with an average at best offense then I absolutely would stay away from this line. However, this is an offense that is led by Heisman Trophy candidate Joe Burrow that is averaging 50.1 points per game and has scored a combined 97 points in two games against ranked opponents this year.
LSU is going to come out firing and is going to look to score in the 42-49 range and very well may accomplish that. On the other side of things, it is really hard to see Auburn scoring more than four touchdowns against LSU in this game.
Even if we give Auburn four touchdowns and two field goals (which is a lot), LSU would need to score 45 points to at least push. That is how much LSU scored against Texas on the road.